Existing home sales continue increase
Friday, December 28, 2018 from Floor Covering Weekly
Existing-home sales increased in Nov., according to the National Association of Realtors, marking two consecutive months of increases. Three of four major U.S. regions saw gains in sales activity last month.
Total existing-home sales, completed transactions that include single-family homes, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops, increased 1.9 percent from Oct. to a seasonally adjusted rate of 5.32 million in Nov.. Sales are now down 7.0 percent from a year ago (5.72 million in Nov. 2017).
Lawrence Yun, NAR’s chief economist, said two consecutive months of increases is a welcomed sign for the market. “The market conditions in November were mixed, with good signs of stabilizing home sales compared to recent months, though down significantly from one year ago. Rising inventory is clearly taming home price appreciation.”
The median existing-home price for all housing types in Nov. was $257,700, up 4.2 percent from Nov. 2017 ($247,200). November’s price increase marks the 81st straight month of year-over-year gains.
Total housing inventory at the end of Nov. decreased to 1.74 million, down from 1.85 million existing homes available for sale in Oct. This represents an increase from 1.67 million a year ago, however. Unsold inventory is at a 3.9-month supply at the current sales pace, down from 4.3 last month and up from 3.5 months a year ago.
“A marked shift is occurring in the West region, with much lower sales and very soft price growth,” said Yun. “It is also the West region where consumers have expressed the weakest sentiment about home buying, largely due to lack of affordable housing inventory.”
Properties typically stayed on the market for 42 days in Nov., up from 36 days in Oct. and 40 days a year ago. Forty-three percent of homes sold in Nov. were on the market for less than a month.
“It is not surprising to see homes remain on the market a little longer,” said NAR president John Smaby, a second-generation Realtor from Edina, Minn. and broker at Edina Realty. “Buyers can often negotiate a more favorable price in those circumstances, especially when paired with a motivated seller and the aid of a Realtor familiar with their local market.”
Realtor.com’s Market Hotness Index, measuring time-on-the-market data and listing views per property, revealed that the hottest metro areas in Nov. were Midland, Texas; Fort Wayne, Ind.; Columbus, Ohio; Odessa, Texas; and Boston-Cambridge-Newton, Mass.
First-time buyers were responsible for 33 percent of sales in Nov., up from last month and a year ago (31 percent and 29 percent, respectively). NAR’s 2018 Profile of Home Buyers and Sellers – released in late 2018 – revealed that the annual share of first-time buyers was 33 percent.
“Inventory is plentiful on the upper-end, but a mismatch between supply and demand exists at affordable price points,” Yun added. “Therefore, facilitating real estate development of affordable housing units in designated Opportunity Zones can provide better housing access in addition to boosting the local economy.”
November existing-home sales in the Northeast increased 7.2 percent to an annual rate of 740,000, 2.6 percent below a year ago. The median price in the Northeast was $291,400, which is up 6.5 percent from Nov. 2017.
In the Midwest, existing-home sales rose 5.5 percent from last month to an annual rate of 1.34 million in Nov., down 4.3 percent from a year ago. The median price in the Midwest was $199,100, up 2.6 percent from last year.
Existing-home sales in the South grew 2.3 percent to an annual rate of 2.20 million in Nov., down 5.6 percent from last year. The median price in the South was $223,600, up 3.2 percent from a year ago.
Existing-home sales in the West declined 6.3 percent to an annual rate of 1.04 million in Nov., 15.4 percent below a year ago. The median price in the West was $380,600 up 1.8 percent from Nov. 2017.