GDP (Second Estimate) and Corporate Profits, 1st Quarter 2026

Friday, May 29, 2026 from BEA

Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased at an annual rate of 1.6 percent in the first quarter of 2026 (January, February, and March), according to the second estimate released today by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the fourth quarter of 2025, real GDP increased 0.5 percent.

Real GDP: Percent change from preceding quarter

The contributors to the increase in real GDP in the first quarter were exports, investment, consumer spending, and government spending. Imports, which are a subtraction in the calculation of GDP, increased.

Real GDP was revised down 0.4 percentage point from the advance estimate, primarily reflecting downward revisions to investment and consumer spending. For more information, refer to the “Technical Notes” below.

Contributions to Percent Change in Real GDP, 1st Quarter 2026

Compared to the fourth quarter of 2025, the acceleration in real GDP in the first quarter of 2026 reflected upturns in government spending and exports and an acceleration in investment that were partly offset by a deceleration in consumer spending. Imports turned up.

Real final sales to private domestic purchasers, the sum of consumer spending and gross private fixed investment, increased 2.4 percent in the first quarter, revised down 0.1 percentage point from the previous estimate.

The price index for gross domestic purchases increased 3.5 percent in the first quarter, revised down 0.1 percentage point from the previous estimate. The personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index increased 4.5 percent, the same as previously estimated, and the PCE price index excluding food and energy increased 4.4 percent, revised up 0.1 percentage point.

Quarter-to-Quarter Change in Prices

Real gross domestic income (GDI) increased 0.9 percent in the first quarter of 2026, compared with an increase of 1.6 percent in the fourth quarter of 2025. The average of real GDP and real GDI increased 1.3 percent, compared with an increase of 1.1 percent.

Profits from current production (corporate profits with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments) increased $40.4 billion in the first quarter, compared with an increase of $246.9 billion in the fourth quarter of 2025.

Real GDP and Related Measures
[Percent Change (SAAR) from 2025:Q4 to 2026:Q1]
Advance Estimate Second Estimate
Real GDP 2.0 1.6
Current-dollar GDP 5.6 5.1
Real final sales to private domestic purchasers 2.5 2.4
Real GDI 0.9
Average of real GDP and real GDI 1.3
Gross domestic purchases price index 3.6 3.5
PCE price index 4.5 4.5
PCE price index excluding food and energy 4.3 4.4
For definitions, statistical conventions, updates to GDP, and more information about national statistics, visit “Additional Information.”

Next release:
June 25, 2026, at 8:30 a.m. EDT
GDP (Third Estimate), Industries, Corporate Profits, State GDP, and State Personal Income,
1st Quarter 2026